‘Extremely concerning’: Recession fears could upend New Jersey’s next state budget

March 14, 2025

As the price of eggs continues to climb and the stock market swings amid President Donald Trump’s tariff-fueled trade war, concerns about the possibility of a recession grew this week.

And now that the New Jersey Legislature is starting to prepare a budget for fiscal year 2026, more attention than usual will be on that document and what can be done to make sure the state’s finances are in order in the face of a potential economic slowdown…

The actions of the federal government are going to affect what the state can do to prepare as well, said Marc Pfeiffer, assistant director at the Bloustein Local Government Research Center at Rutgers University.

He explained that in addition to taking the market into consideration, the state has to prepare for “significant uncertainty of federal funding and federal programs.”

The state is entering the new budget cycle with a “healthy surplus,” Pfeiffer said.

Pfeiffer also pointed out this is something that every state has to deal with and should be “very cautious in the assumptions they make about new revenues and cautious with the assumptions they make on what they do with federally funded programs.”

In addition to maintaining a strong surplus, Pfeiffer said other budget policies like cutting discretionary funding or discretionary programs also help.

“You’re really looking at risk,” he said. “How you assess your risks and how are you flexible enough to respond to the problems when they really appear.”

NorthJersey.com, March 14, 2025

Recent Posts

NJ Postsecondary Employment and Earnings Dashboard Now Available

The New Jersey Statewide Data System is pleased to release its updated Postsecondary Employment and Earnings Dashboard. This dashboard uses linked, longitudinal administrative data from the Office of the Secretary of Higher Education and the New Jersey Department of...

Rutgers MHA ranked #26 in 2026 by U.S. News and World Report

The Rutgers Master of Health Administration program (MHA) program has been ranked #26 in the nation in the 2026 U.S. News & World Report rankings, climbing two spots from last year and continuing a steady rise from #32 in 2024 and #28 in 2025. “We are incredibly...

Chen et al. Use Google Street View to Verify Cannabis Retailers

Evaluating the Use of Google Street View to Visually Verify the Locations of Cannabis Retailers in the United States Extracted from Websites, 2015–2018 Abstract Our ability to advance public health and policy responses to cannabis legalization is limited by a lack of...

“Work Trends RU” Podcast with Steve Reynolds

Steve Reynolds of Independent Colleges and Universities of New Jersey Guests on Work Trends RU Podcast In the latest episode of Work Trends RU, host Dr. Carl Van Horn speaks with Steve Reynolds, president and CEO of Independent Colleges and Universities of New...